Only 37.5 percent (nine QBs) had a top-6 season within the first three years.įantasy football, in general, is a market that fluctuates based on the players actually participating in the sport.Since 2012, 13 of the 24 QBs (who started in Year 1) hit a top-12 scoring mark within the first two years, that’s a 54 percent hit rate.I recently did a study on SuperFlex Dynasty Rookie Drafts and found that we tend to overvalue the QB position in terms of upside. With the scarcity mentality, everyone is in the business of hoarding and playing it safe. Effective rosters in Superflex dynasty leagues not only recognize the value of QBs but also the opportunity cost of not having one. You’ll hear everyone and their mama discuss how SuperFlex leagues create positional scarcity for the QB position. 75% of the NFL QBs will be starting in a SuperFlex league. Positional Scarcity isn’t the same as Positional Supremacy.Īs many people state, what does change in a SuperFlex league is the SUPPLY & DEMAND. What kind of player is he? Do you think he projects to be better than Jahan Dotson on his own team? The majority of fantasy football evaluation is not league-specific rather, the league you play in offers the context for inserting your opinions. Your evaluation of any RB/WR/TE (ex: Terry McLaurin) is separate from your SuperFlex league. Elite RBs like CMC still are game-changers. Patrick Mahomes scores the same in both formats in the Ultimate Draft Kit. He will get angry.) Our QB Point Projections don’t change based on 1QB or 2QB leagues. Like buying a new car, 90% of what matters for a car is transferrable regardless if you’re buying a Prius or a Tesla. SuperFlex is a lens to assess dynasty rosters but it does not change everything. The real questions people are asking: “ Where should I take QBs in SuperFlex? How should I value them rightly?” These are valid questions worth discussing compared to claiming a format is supreme and all others are somehow elementary or weak. Tier-based drafting is our company-wide approach and why we’ve held off on giving SuperFlex rankings for a while. We personally do not recommend that people draft in SuperFlex leagues with a top-200 list. I love SuperFlex but I also don’t mind pointing out some of the failed logic used when people claim it is the only way to play fantasy football. The point isn’t to do an apples-to-oranges comparison but more to point out some of the fallacy of QB scoring, QB importance, and why SuperFlex doesn’t always accurately portray. But did he actually help your team? He failed to score 20 fantasy points in ANY WEEK! Ceedee Lamb, on the other hand, was QB-proof despite Dak Prescott going down and down the stretch, he was a true difference-maker for teams. Yes, technically Aaron Rodgers finished with more fantasy points and ended the year as the QB13… aka the highest-ranked QB2 you could find. In this game we call fantasy football, it is not always the most important position. Finding a top-tier QB is the biggest advantage in professional sports. In professional sports, there is no argument from me about that. In terms of DFS & Best Ball content, I write and give advice on the DFS & Betting podcast almost exclusively with a single QB in mind. For the majority of people who play fantasy football and don’t come in until August, they’ve never heard of the term. Keep in mind that SuperFlex is trending in a way to become the norm in Dynasty Startups. They are water bottles! For fantasy football, no shame in hating on any format that people play in. You might have a preference for what you use and what is normal around your friends but let’s be honest… these things are essentially the same. Hyrdoflasks became a thing, YETI cornered the market on making sure you had an insulated cup, and now my wife and all her friends have way too many Stanley cups (#NotaSponsor). In college, everybody had a Nalgene, at least at my granola college. Much of the elitism in fantasy football league preference can be likened to the water bottle industry. Regardless, we care about giving equitable advice that can be applied anywhere while also equipping people to make the best decisions in their format-specific league. As with any league format, you will have people clamor and claim “ this is the only way to play fantasy!” If it’s TE-premium, it’s their 32-team contract league, or the people stuck on their standard scoring, TD-only “this is the way fantasy was meant to be played” ways.
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